Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.228796 0.258013 0.288939 0.324051 0.362748 0.404030 0.451339
2025-07-27 0.190929 0.230598 0.275009 0.328200 0.389948 0.459140 0.542296
2025-08-03 0.166082 0.212794 0.267652 0.336367 0.419630 0.516728 0.637950
2025-08-10 0.147708 0.199498 0.262950 0.345598 0.449506 0.574853 0.736423
2025-08-17 0.128545 0.182469 0.251201 0.344018 0.464704 0.614801 0.813870
2025-08-24 0.113595 0.168862 0.241923 0.343881 0.480524 0.655151 0.892652
2025-08-31 0.100910 0.156699 0.233017 0.342823 0.494135 0.692356 0.968138
2025-09-07 0.092790 0.149916 0.230514 0.349681 0.517982 0.743300 1.063045
2025-09-14 0.083822 0.140856 0.223812 0.349770 0.531948 0.780983 1.141114
2025-09-21 0.076109 0.132824 0.217748 0.349985 0.545570 0.818180 1.219355
2025-09-28 0.069380 0.125592 0.212150 0.350208 0.558765 0.854812 1.297647
2025-10-05 0.064625 0.121024 0.210141 0.355440 0.579196 0.902096 1.392231
2025-10-12 0.060987 0.118125 0.210736 0.365015 0.607080 0.962011 1.508415
2025-10-19 0.056263 0.112887 0.207127 0.367650 0.624382 1.006982 1.604463
2025-10-26 0.053010 0.109898 0.206920 0.375578 0.650063 1.065172 1.721817
2025-11-02 0.050334 0.107670 0.207761 0.385134 0.678569 1.128471 1.848732
2025-11-09 0.045974 0.101845 0.201929 0.383089 0.688210 1.163079 1.933247
2025-11-16 0.042317 0.096976 0.197355 0.382770 0.700425 1.201837 2.025053
2025-11-23 0.038878 0.092167 0.192480 0.381522 0.710845 1.237893 2.113538
2025-11-30 0.036928 0.090178 0.192601 0.388986 0.736052 1.298087 2.241356
2025-12-07 0.034193 0.086257 0.188775 0.389057 0.748524 1.338042 2.338184
2025-12-14 0.031716 0.082620 0.185192 0.389279 0.761116 1.378419 2.436653
2025-12-21 0.029451 0.079204 0.181764 0.389515 0.773608 1.418860 2.536189